Chenjezo!"Stagflation" mu malonda apadziko lonse akhoza kugunda

No.1┃ Mitengo yopenga

Kuyambira 2021, zinthu "zakwera".M'gawo loyamba, zinthu zonse za 189 zidakwera ndikugwera pamndandanda wamitengo yazinthu.Pakati pawo, zinthu 79 zawonjezeka ndi 20%, 11 zidawonjezeka ndi 50%, ndipo 2 inawonjezeka ndi 100%, kuphatikizapo mphamvu, mankhwala, zitsulo zopanda chitsulo, zitsulo, mphira ndi mapulasitiki ndi zinthu zaulimi. minda ina.

Kukwera kwamitengo yazinthu kunakwezera mtengo wogulidwa wa zinthu zopangira.M'mwezi wa Marichi, mtengo wamtengo wogula wazinthu zazikulu zopangira zidayandikira 67%, zomwe zakhala zapamwamba kuposa 60.0% kwa miyezi inayi yotsatizana ndikugunda zaka zinayi.Mitengo yomanga yawonanso kuwonjezeka kwa pafupifupi 15% mpaka 20%, zomwe zikuwonekera pazovuta zamtengo wapatali.

Potengera kuyambika kwa mliri watsopano wa korona, mayiko azachuma padziko lonse lapansi akhazikitsa mfundo zazikulu zochepetsera ndalama.Pofika kumapeto kwa February 2021, ndalama zambiri za M2 zamabanki apakati atatu ku United States, Europe ndi Japan zidaposa US$47 thililiyoni.Chaka chino, United States yabweretsa ndalama zolimbikitsira za US $ 1.9 thililiyoni ndi dongosolo lalikulu la zomangamanga lopitilira US $ 1 thililiyoni.Pofika pa Marichi 1, ndalama za M2 ku United States zidafika ku US $ 19.7 trilioni, zomwe zikuwonjezeka chaka ndi chaka ndi 27%.Kusalekeza kosalekeza kwa ndalama zogulira ndalama kumsika kukukweza mitengo ya zinthu zambiri, ndipo mliriwu wachepetsa kupanga zinthu padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo zinthu zina zikusoweka, zomwe zakulitsa mitengo yamitengo.

Chithunzi 1: Ndalama za M2 za mabanki atatu akuluakulu padziko lapansi

M2 ndalama za mabanki atatu akuluakulu padziko lapansi

Chithunzi 2: Ndalama za US M2

Ndalama za US M2

No.2┃Kufuna kwamakampani omanga kapena kuchepa kwakukulu

Poyang'anizana ndi kukwera kwamitengo yazinthu zopangira, Sampmax Construction idayenera kukweza mitengo "pamsika".Koma kukhudzika kwakukulu kwa ogula akunja pakukwera kwamitengo kumayika makampani m'mavuto.Kumbali imodzi, sipadzakhala malire a phindu ngati palibe kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo.Kumbali inayi, akuda nkhawa ndi kutayika kwa malamulo pambuyo pa kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo.

Kuchokera pamalingaliro akulu, ndondomeko yazandalama yotayirira kwambiri ndiyovuta kudzutsa kufunidwa kwatsopano, koma kungayambitse kukwera kwa mitengo komanso kukwezeka kwangongole.Masewera a malonda a mayiko akunja amawongolera pang'onopang'ono mphamvu zopangira kunja kwa nyanja, ndipo zotsatira zolowa m'malo zikuchepa, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti zikhale zovuta kuti kufunikira kwa kunja kukhalebe kwakukulu.

No.3┃Nkhawa zobisika za "stagflation" mu malonda apadziko lonse

Stagflation nthawi zambiri imagwiritsidwa ntchito pofotokoza kukhazikika kwa chitukuko chachuma komanso kukwera kwamitengo.Poyerekeza izi ndi malonda a mayiko, makampani amalonda akunja amakakamizika "kuphatikiza" monyinyirika pamene mtengo wa zipangizo ndi ndalama zina zakwera kwambiri, pamene zofuna zakunja sizinachuluke kwambiri kapena ngakhale kuchepa.

Mliri wazaka za zana lino wachititsa kusiyana kwakukulu pakati pa olemera ndi osauka padziko lonse lapansi, chiwerengero cha anthu omwe amapeza ndalama zochepa chakwera, kukula kwa anthu apakati chatsika, ndipo chikhalidwe cha kuchepa kwa chiwerengero cha anthu chikuchepa.Izi zabweretsa kusintha kwa msika wogulitsa kunja, ndiko kuti, msika wapakatikati wagwa ndipo msika wotsika kwambiri wakwera.

Kusemphana pakati pa kutsika kwa mitengo yazinthu ndi kutsika kwazinthu zofunidwa kudayimitsa kutumiza kunja.Chifukwa cha kutsika kwa zinthu zakunja, msika wamagetsi umakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi mitengo yogulitsa kunja.Kukwera kochulukirachulukira kwa ndalama zogulira kunja kwa mafakitale ambiri kuli kovuta kupereka kwa ogula ndi ogula akunja mwa kukweza mitengo ya kunja.
Mwanjira ina, kuchuluka kwa malonda kukukulirabe, koma ziwerengero zomwe zikuchulukirachulukira sizinabweretse phindu lochulukirapo m'mabizinesi athu, komanso zalephera kupanga zofuna zanthawi zonse."Stagflation" ikubwera mwakachetechete.

No.4┃ Zovuta ndi Mayankho pa Kupanga zisankho zamalonda

Stagflation imatibweretsera osati kuchepetsa phindu, komanso zovuta komanso zoopsa pazosankha zamalonda.

Pofuna kutseka mitengo, ogula ambiri akunja amakonda kusaina mapangano a nthawi yayitali ndi ife kapena kuyika maoda angapo ndi maoda akulu nthawi imodzi.Pamaso pa "mbatata yotentha", Sampmax Construction ilinso m'mavuto: ikudandaula chifukwa chosowa mwayi wamabizinesi, komanso ikuwopa kuti mtengo wazinthu zopangira upitilira kukwera atalandira dongosolo, zomwe zingayambitse kulephera. kuchita kapena kutaya ndalama, makamaka kwa makasitomala omwe ali ndi malamulo ang'onoang'ono.Zopangira za timu yathu zili kumtunda.Kukambitsirana mphamvu kuli ndi malire.

Kuphatikiza apo, kutengera mitengo yomwe ilipo nthawi zambiri imakhala yokwera kwambiri, Sampmax Construction ndiyokonzeka kuthana ndi kusinthasintha kwamitengo.Makamaka pamsika ndi kusinthasintha kwamphamvu kwamitengo, tidzawongolera mosamalitsa mikhalidwe yosonkhanitsira.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, tikulimbikitsidwa kuti makasitomala azikhala ndi zofunikira kuti apange zisankho mwachangu.

Poganizira kuti makasitomala a Sampmax amayang'ana zosungira ndi zogulitsa munthawi yake panthawi yapadera, tikulimbikitsidwa kuti ogula athu azitsata mosamalitsa momwe zilili zolipirira, kutsatira lingaliro lachitetezo, kuchita mosamala kwambiri komanso kwautali. -nthawi yamabizinesi, ndikukhala tcheru kwambiri kwa ogula akuluakulu, Chiwopsezo chapakati.Tikambirananso nanu dongosolo la mgwirizano wanthawi yayitali.